Jose Montoya (bottom), former PORTS technician, and Jacob Partida (top), former oceanography/math undergraduate student and PORTS technician, install equipment on Buoy 9 within the channel in Humboldt Bay.
“A tsunami could arrive at high tide or low tide, but it's an event that rides on top of typical conditions—and [the currents] can influence the hazard itself," Admire says. “So the currents are important because they help us understand how we need to reinforce structures within a bay or a river to minimize any type of failure that could occur. They also help us understand where vessels would need to be to navigate or not get caught by those currents."
For example, engineers were able to use similar data collected in Crescent City following the 2011 tsunami to determine how best to rebuild the harbor to withstand the force of future tsunamis.
“We can collect the data, analyze the data, interpret how fast these currents were moving based on where they came from and understand the relationship between the earthquake and the tsunami," Admire says. “Then we use that information and that evidence to help reinforce either new building designs they're doing in that location or be able to identify areas that are potential weaknesses."
past, present, future
To prepare for future tsunamis, HSU research associate Eileen Hemphill-Haley, Ph.D., looks to the past. Her focus is identifying the fossils of a marine species of diatoms, or microscopic algae, in cores collected from estuaries along the coast in California, namely Humboldt Bay, and Oregon—though her past research has also looked at the Washington coast and Vancouver Island. Depending on the area, the cores she collects can be about four to six meters long and encompass thousands of years of geological history.
Based on the presence of marine diatoms in cores collected in non-coastal areas, she can reconstruct abrupt changes in the environment due to past earthquakes and tsunamis. “If you find a core record and you have a saltier, sandy deposit that's full of marine diatoms in a place where they should not be, that can be very strong supporting evidence you're looking at a tsunami deposit," Dr. Hemphill-Haley explains.
Former students Brandon Crawford, Jessica Vermeer, Casey Loofbourrow and Dylan Caldwell (from left to right) collect cores from a freshwater marsh near Crescent City in 2017, searching for evidence of past tsunami deposits.
The location of marine diatoms in a core can reveal when and where a past tsunami occurred, while the width of that strata can demonstrate how large it was. By matching earthquake records to the existence of tsunami deposits, she can help coastal cities understand which earthquakes are likely to trigger a tsunami based on their location, how immense the resulting tsunami could be and where the tsunami would likely hit.
For example, a
1964 tsunami caused by the great Alaska earthquake (which killed 14 people and inflicted $15 million in damage in California) left a thin deposit layer while a 1700 tsunami caused by a
Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake left a much thicker deposit layer. By comparing the two deposits, Hemphill-Haley demonstrates a tsunami following an earthquake along this subduction zone, a fault line running from Northern California to British Columbia, could inflict much greater damage than the 1964 tsunami.
“[Understanding] a tsunami threat if there's an earthquake in the Cascadia Subduction Zone is a big thing for driving coastal hazard planning, community training and exercises for tsunami evacuation drills," she says.
Lastly, Dengler, Hemphill-Haley and Admire also worked together to gather data from all tsunami-related studies conducted in California into a single database for the California Geological Survey.
“It's important for us to look into the past at what has happened and how we can use that to help us better understand the potential [of future events]," Admire says. “But [it's also important to] monitor the current events that are taking place so as they happen in real time, we can interpret that information and use it to better prepare our communities for the future. And, the first step is raising awareness and letting people know we actively live with these hazards."